Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.085685 1.222962 1.372679 1.548372 1.749256 1.972190 2.238907
2026-01-11 0.894381 1.079842 1.298133 1.575178 1.919055 2.333945 2.875576
2026-01-18 0.758885 0.969277 1.232815 1.589716 2.064335 2.679216 3.544912
2026-01-25 0.646478 0.865016 1.153295 1.565617 2.147073 2.948003 4.152554
2026-02-01 0.547570 0.761676 1.056640 1.498503 2.153704 3.105354 4.621662
2026-02-08 0.476658 0.686037 0.985747 1.453592 2.179291 3.285183 5.142924
2026-02-15 0.423150 0.627907 0.931264 1.422795 2.217251 3.482630 5.715391
2026-02-22 0.396579 0.606137 0.927165 1.466673 2.374767 3.886104 6.687713
2026-03-01 0.367313 0.576457 0.906623 1.480108 2.481709 4.217221 7.584756
2026-03-08 0.332971 0.534810 0.861964 1.447039 2.503000 4.399945 8.235726
2026-03-15 0.302824 0.496894 0.819227 1.411537 2.513904 4.562637 8.870667
2026-03-22 0.291734 0.489779 0.827449 1.466397 2.695913 5.067395 10.273809
2026-03-29 0.276811 0.475627 0.823764 1.502547 2.854311 5.563762 11.786068
2026-04-05 0.262302 0.460878 0.817664 1.533861 3.008803 6.079189 13.452799
2026-04-12 0.247154 0.443463 0.804824 1.550468 3.135885 6.558128 15.139575
2026-04-19 0.228732 0.418154 0.774472 1.528143 3.177546 6.857254 16.456969
2026-04-26 0.207375 0.385285 0.726290 1.463286 3.117415 6.916232 17.180386
2026-05-03 0.190575 0.359776 0.690182 1.419752 3.099067 7.069781 18.185971
2026-05-10 0.176843 0.339132 0.661891 1.389842 3.107911 7.290065 19.422921
2026-05-17 0.171404 0.334665 0.666257 1.432641 3.294697 7.983590 22.168018
2026-05-24 0.163614 0.324663 0.658025 1.445753 3.410919 8.515404 24.565031
2026-05-31 0.152570 0.306930 0.631634 1.413539 3.408857 8.732042 26.039372
2026-06-07 0.142274 0.289965 0.605441 1.378947 3.396123 8.917855 27.462692